I think I have A-B's strategy figured out. If you can't make great beer on your own, go and purchase people that do make great beer.
I agree. They've consistently proved that they don't understand the craft beer movement and therefore cannot exploit it. So, they have started to buy their way into the ethos of craft.
Still, remember that the parent company,
In-Bev started by acquiring Hoegaarden from Pierre Celis. It has ALWAYS been their method to buy a small brewery, keep one or two of the main beers and bury the rest of the line. Then, convert excess capacity into Stella Artois.
I'm pretty sure that if August Busch IV still owned the company, this would not be happening.
I live in this neck of the woods and A-B has purchased 10 Barrell Brewing and Elysian in the past few months.
I'm not sure I like what's happening to the craft beer scene.... I hope they let them continue to do what they do best.
I'm not sure what this means. These aren't hostile takeovers. There's a willing seller involved. Dick Cantwell of Elysian has done more to mentor and motivate brewers and breweries than almost anyone in the business. If you want to start a brewery, the guidebook sold by the Brewer's Association is written by Cantwell. Do you have the Barleywine Style book? Cantwell and another legend, Fal Allen wrote it.
Breweries are a harder business than most homebrewers and drinkers understand. It's nearly always at least 8 years to get a break even return on the investment. In that time, it's the owners and investors that defer getting paid or take just enough to get by. Their real payoff, typically, is when they sell the business. When you get to a certain size and are ready to retire, how many players have the money to pay you what the business is worth?
Ken Grossman has two kids that are into the beer business. Ken won't sell, but eventually there will be heirs with conflicting thoughts about Sierra Nevada. Then what?
FWIW, I think employee ownership programs will become more popular as a way out for founders and investors.
Cantwell has earned a cushy retirement.